As the NBA season came to an end in spectacular fashion last
week, NBA fans and teams focus their gaze on the 2013 NBA Draft, which takes
place this Thursday, June 28th. Although the draft is an exciting
time every year for teams looking to get better and strive for future playoff
runs, this draft is less hopeful than most. With no surefire All-Star caliber
prospects and no legitimate #1 player, this year’s draft is not one that will put
any forlorn franchise immediately back into playoff contention.
This class is mostly comprised of solid role players and a lot of high potential guys, but very few that you can hang your hat on. Because this draft class is so disparate and enigmatic, I’ve grouped most of the first round talent into groups based on skill level and play style, as well as where I think many of them will end up.
This class is mostly comprised of solid role players and a lot of high potential guys, but very few that you can hang your hat on. Because this draft class is so disparate and enigmatic, I’ve grouped most of the first round talent into groups based on skill level and play style, as well as where I think many of them will end up.
The Relative Elite:
Nerlens Noel, Alex Len, Ben McLemore, Victor Oladipo, Otto Porter, Anthony
Bennett
Unlike last year’s draft where Anthony Davis was a lock for
the number one pick, this year’s draft doesn’t have one of those guys. The
closest would be Nerlens Noel, who may have ran away with the top selection if
not for his ACL injury that occurred midway through his freshman year at
Kentucky. That injury and his alleged off the court problems has cast doubt in
many decision maker’s minds. I ultimately think he goes to Cleveland at #1, but
the talented Alex Len could also go there as well. McLemore may hold the most
potential and talent in the group, but his timid personality and unselfishness
raises questions as to whether he has the mentality to take over games.
Oladipo, Porter, and Bennett are guys who can help teams right now and are
incredibly versatile. Although they may be safer, some teams may be prefer to
go for the homerun and hope one of the first three guys pan out. Regardless, I
think these six players are the first six picks in the draft in some order.
The Scoring Guards:
CJ McCollum, Shabazz Muhammad, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and Sergey Karasev
Teams needing scoring depth and shooting ability should look
to these three guys in the lottery and mid-first round. McCollum and Caldwall-Pope
are great shooters while Muhammad is more of an all-around scorer. Muhammad may
have the most overall potential of the group, but character concerns and
limited development have hurt his stock since being highly recruited out of
high school. McCollum is a knock down shooter with a combo guard skillset,
while Caldwell-Pope is more of a traditional shooting guard with good
scoring and
defensive abilities. Karasev’s shooting and strong basketball IQ makes him a
foreign prospect that may be ready for the NBA sooner rather than later.
The Point Guards:
Trey Burke, Michael Carter-Williams, Shane Larkin, and Dennis Schroeder
All of these guys are lottery to mid-first round (7-20)
prospects with varying degrees of upside. Carter-Williams is probably the
purest point guard, with a pass-first attitude but has limited shooting
ability. Burke is the opposite, and instead focusing on his elite scoring
ability over distributing. Larkin’s best asset is his shooting ability, while
Schroeder is known for his defense, and speed. Teams with point guard needs
could go in many different directions depending on the type of player they
think will bet fit their type of offense.
The High Character,
Limited Potential Bigs: Cody Zeller, Kelly Olynyk, Gorgui Dieng, and Mason
Plumlee
These four big men may be the most ready to contribute right
away out of any prosepect outside of the top six. All possess good size and
touch around the rim. Expect Zeller and Olynyk to go off the board first
because of their more polished offensive games. Plumlee and Dieng are more
defensive/rebounding minded and could fit immediate backup center roles for
playoff teams in the late first round.
The Raw Bigs: Steven
Adams, Rudy Gobert, and Lucas Nogueira
This group of center/power forwards is the most athletic in the
draft, but don’t have a lot of tangible skills at the moment. They’re all young
and have a lot of potential, but it’s hard to imagine them helping a team right
away. Their best assets are their size, defenseive ability and athetism, with Adams looking like the best of the bunch. These are most likely high risk, high reward prospects that could play a
few seasons before they show significant improvement. All of them could be selected
anywhere from the late lottery to late first round depending on how wowed a
team is with their physical gifts.
The Mystery: Giannis
Adetokunbo
Adetokunbo may be the most perplexing prospect in the draft.
He currently plays in a low division of the Greek basketball league, but seems
to dominate there. He has great size and length and is a very good athlete.
However, he has a very unpolished game and may take several years to develop.
Whichever team picks this kid may need to be prepared going in that he may
spend several seasons in Europe before he’s ready to play in the NBA.
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Josh
Brackett is a pre-junior Sport Management major at Drexel University from
Boston, MA. Josh has past experience in
the sports industry at ClibHoops Scouting Service and the Philadelphia Freedoms
of World Team Tennis. Currently, Josh is
a member of the Drexel Athletics Event Management Team and he writes for his personal
blog Get
Buckets NBA.
He has also recently joined
the Philadelphia Eagles Ticket Office for co-op this spring
summer.
Waiting to hear your thoughts on the Garnett trade.
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